Washington: Despite intense military pressure and high expectations from Washington and Tel Aviv, the anticipated regime change in Iran has failed to materialize.
According to a report by The New York Times, the United States and Israel expected that their attacks on Iran would trigger a large-scale public uprising, ultimately leading to the rapid collapse of the Iranian government. However, this scenario has not materialized.
The report notes that intelligence officials had already expressed serious doubts about the effectiveness of this strategy, considering it highly uncertain.
Alternative approaches, including the potential use of Kurdish forces, were also explored but later abandoned due to their unpredictable and risky consequences.
At present, the most likely outcome is that Iran’s current government will remain in power, as no significant internal uprising has taken place.
Analysts emphasize that Iran’s state structure remains stable, with security institutions maintaining strong control, making immediate regime change unlikely.
Experts are now viewing this as a strategic miscalculation by both the U.S. and Israel, as their expectations of internal collapse have not only failed but have been contradicted by the continued stability within Iran.