{"id":553,"date":"2026-01-19T16:13:46","date_gmt":"2026-01-19T16:13:46","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.worldwatchalert.com\/?p=553"},"modified":"2026-01-19T16:13:49","modified_gmt":"2026-01-19T16:13:49","slug":"china-population-falls-again-in-2025-as-birth-rate-hits-record-low","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.worldwatchalert.com\/?p=553","title":{"rendered":"China Population Falls Again in 2025 as Birth Rate Hits Record Low"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>Figures from the <strong>National Bureau of Statistics (NBS)<\/strong> show that China\u2019s population fell by <strong>3.39 million<\/strong>, dropping to <strong>1.405 billion<\/strong> \u2014 a faster decline than in 2024. The number of births slid sharply to <strong>7.92 million<\/strong>, down <strong>17%<\/strong> from <strong>9.54 million<\/strong> a year earlier, while deaths increased to <strong>11.31 million<\/strong>, up from <strong>10.93 million<\/strong> in 2024.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>China\u2019s <strong>birth rate fell to a record low of 5.63 per 1,000 people<\/strong>, while the <strong>death rate climbed to 8.04 per 1,000<\/strong>, the highest level recorded since <strong>1968<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Demographers warn the trend signals deepening structural challenges. \u201cBirths in 2025 were roughly at the same level as in <strong>1738<\/strong>, when China\u2019s population was only about <strong>150 million<\/strong>,\u201d said Yi Fuxian, a demographer at the University of Wisconsin-Madison.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>China\u2019s population has been shrinking since <strong>2022<\/strong> and is ageing rapidly, complicating Beijing\u2019s efforts to boost domestic consumption and manage mounting fiscal pressures.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Data showed that <strong>around 23% of China\u2019s population is now aged over 60<\/strong>. By <strong>2035<\/strong>, that figure is expected to reach <strong>400 million<\/strong>, roughly equal to the combined populations of the <strong>United States and Italy<\/strong>. The ageing trend is set to shrink the workforce while placing further strain on pension and healthcare systems.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>To cope, China has already raised retirement ages, with men now expected to retire at <strong>63<\/strong> instead of 60, and women at <strong>58<\/strong> instead of 55.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Long Shadow of the One-Child Policy<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>Marriages \u2014 a key indicator of future birth trends \u2014 dropped sharply in <strong>2024<\/strong>, falling by <strong>20%<\/strong> to just <strong>6.1 million<\/strong>, the steepest decline on record. Although authorities eased marriage registration rules in <strong>May 2025<\/strong>, allowing couples to marry anywhere in the country, experts believe any boost in births will be temporary.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Marriages rose <strong>22.5% year-on-year<\/strong> in the third quarter of 2025, offering brief relief after nearly a decade of decline. Full-year marriage data will be released later.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Authorities are also promoting \u201cpositive views on marriage and childbearing\u201d as they try to reverse the social impact of the <strong>one-child policy<\/strong>, which ran from <strong>1980 to 2015<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Demographics and Economic Pressure<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>Urbanisation has further intensified the challenge, with <strong>68% of China\u2019s population living in cities in 2025<\/strong>, compared with <strong>43% in 2005<\/strong>, where the cost of raising children is significantly higher.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Population planning has now become central to China\u2019s economic strategy. Analysts estimate Beijing could spend <strong>around 180 billion yuan ($25.8 billion)<\/strong> this year alone to encourage births.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Measures include <strong>national child subsidies<\/strong> and a pledge to make pregnancy fully cost-free by <strong>2026<\/strong>, with all medical expenses \u2014 including <strong>IVF treatments<\/strong> \u2014 covered by national health insurance.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Despite these efforts, China\u2019s fertility rate remains among the <strong>lowest in the world<\/strong>, at around <strong>one birth per woman<\/strong>, far below the replacement rate of <strong>2.1<\/strong>. The pool of women of reproductive age is projected to fall to <strong>below 100 million by the end of the century<\/strong>, underscoring the scale of China\u2019s demographic challenge.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>China\u2019s population declined for a fourth straight year in 2025<\/strong>, as births plunged to a historic low and deaths continued to rise, according to official data released on Monday.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Figures from the <strong>National Bureau of Statistics (NBS)<\/strong> show that China\u2019s population fell by <strong>3.39 million<\/strong>, dropping to <strong>1.405 billion<\/strong> \u2014 a faster decline than in 2024. The number of births slid sharply to <strong>7.92 million<\/strong>, down <strong>17%<\/strong> from <strong>9.54 million<\/strong> a year earlier, while deaths increased to <strong>11.31 million<\/strong>, up from <strong>10.93 million<\/strong> in 2024.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>China\u2019s <strong>birth rate fell to a record low of 5.63 per 1,000 people<\/strong>, while the <strong>death rate climbed to 8.04 per 1,000<\/strong>, the highest level recorded since <strong>1968<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Demographers warn the trend signals deepening structural challenges. \u201cBirths in 2025 were roughly at the same level as in <strong>1738<\/strong>, when China\u2019s population was only about <strong>150 million<\/strong>,\u201d said Yi Fuxian, a demographer at the University of Wisconsin-Madison.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>China\u2019s population has been shrinking since <strong>2022<\/strong> and is ageing rapidly, complicating Beijing\u2019s efforts to boost domestic consumption and manage mounting fiscal pressures.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Data showed that <strong>around 23% of China\u2019s population is now aged over 60<\/strong>. By <strong>2035<\/strong>, that figure is expected to reach <strong>400 million<\/strong>, roughly equal to the combined populations of the <strong>United States and Italy<\/strong>. The ageing trend is set to shrink the workforce while placing further strain on pension and healthcare systems.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>To cope, China has already raised retirement ages, with men now expected to retire at <strong>63<\/strong> instead of 60, and women at <strong>58<\/strong> instead of 55.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Long Shadow of the One-Child Policy<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>Marriages \u2014 a key indicator of future birth trends \u2014 dropped sharply in <strong>2024<\/strong>, falling by <strong>20%<\/strong> to just <strong>6.1 million<\/strong>, the steepest decline on record. Although authorities eased marriage registration rules in <strong>May 2025<\/strong>, allowing couples to marry anywhere in the country, experts believe any boost in births will be temporary.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Marriages rose <strong>22.5% year-on-year<\/strong> in the third quarter of 2025, offering brief relief after nearly a decade of decline. Full-year marriage data will be released later.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Authorities are also promoting \u201cpositive views on marriage and childbearing\u201d as they try to reverse the social impact of the <strong>one-child policy<\/strong>, which ran from <strong>1980 to 2015<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Demographics and Economic Pressure<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>Urbanisation has further intensified the challenge, with <strong>68% of China\u2019s population living in cities in 2025<\/strong>, compared with <strong>43% in 2005<\/strong>, where the cost of raising children is significantly higher.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Population planning has now become central to China\u2019s economic strategy. Analysts estimate Beijing could spend <strong>around 180 billion yuan ($25.8 billion)<\/strong> this year alone to encourage births.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Measures include <strong>national child subsidies<\/strong> and a pledge to make pregnancy fully cost-free by <strong>2026<\/strong>, with all medical expenses \u2014 including <strong>IVF treatments<\/strong> \u2014 covered by national health insurance.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Despite these efforts, China\u2019s fertility rate remains among the <strong>lowest in the world<\/strong>, at around <strong>one birth per woman<\/strong>, far below the replacement rate of <strong>2.1<\/strong>. The pool of women of reproductive age is projected to fall to <strong>below 100 million by the end of the century<\/strong>, underscoring the scale of China\u2019s demographic challenge.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Figures from the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) show that China\u2019s population fell by 3.39 million, dropping to 1.405 billion \u2014 a faster decline than in 2024. The number of&hellip; <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":554,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[6],"tags":[459,460,462,461],"class_list":["post-553","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-world","tag-ageing-population","tag-china-birth-rate","tag-china-population","tag-demographic-crisis"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.5 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>China Population Falls Again in 2025 as Birth Rate Hits Record Low - World Watch Alert<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"China\u2019s population fell for the fourth year in 2025 as births hit a record low and deaths rose- strengthening the economy\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.worldwatchalert.com\/?p=553\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"China Population Falls Again in 2025 as Birth Rate Hits Record Low - 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